Watch Lists

Barrow is the northern most city (village) in AK, hence these are stocks I think may rise. This rise may be hours, days or weeks, you should be able to determine that on your own. If not you can ask. Juneau is the capital of AK and one of the southern most cities, hence stocks I think are going down. I will try to list stocks as follows: JPM 37.50/39.50. This is the ticker symbol/goal (primary goal usually an ultra conservative pick)/stop area. I don’t give exact stops, just a general area. MOVERS are stocks that have potential big moves coming up, but in what direction is not yet clear, like triangles.

Remember, these are my picks, do not consider this advice and please do your own research. I will be happy to discuss options and thoughts with you, but I don’t give “advice”. I will give my analysis of a stock and what I might do if everything lines up. 

I use a lot of different indicators in different time frames before I enter a stock. So when I list one on here, it does not mean jump in, it means I am watching it for a good entry point. I don’t like to catch falling knives. 

Week of 2/9/009

Juneau

alks  10/11.53

amgn  54.50/58.50

chtt  68/65

bg  45/50

eq 39/35.50

hpq 35/36.50

cmtl 39.10/41.80

intc  13.25/15/.10

Week of 2/2/09

Juneau

AAON  17/19

ALKS  10/11.50

BECN  11/13.50

HUM  32.50/40

ACM  20/27

AZO 125/137.50

WEN  3.50/5.50

GAS  32.50/35.50

MOVERS

BJRI — Third test of 200ma, could be forming triple top followed by strong down move. Could break 200ma, if so then up move.

CHTT– In wedge, should move down before back up.

CRI —  On 200 and up trend, if breaks down hard, if holds play up.

Week of 1/26/09

Barrow

XLE  50/47.50  watch break or breach of 50% channel line

XLK  16/14.50  simple up trend, 16 is the safe play, if trend continues should break higher.

AMGN  57.50/52.50  If pattern remains, should rally from breach of 200ma.

MRO  32.50/29  Up trend, expect breach of stop, if trend continues in channel up.

 

Juneau

JPM  18.25/26  Rally should stall out at resistance, retrace low

ON RADAR

WYNN watch to see if it retests lows, then play bounce up.

Week of 1/19/09

Barrow Bound

XLE   50/46 in trading range, wait for conformation.

AGN   46.50/40.90 this is an either way play. Will the inv. h&S hold or give way?

AMX   34.50/28.25

CCJ   20/17.50

CELL   5.20/4.40  I know this seems like a very small move, but I used to play this one a lot and its options move well.

DRI   27/ 24.50 We played this coming down, now it should rally. Target is very conservative, could go much higher

PFCB   21.50/17.75   Forming inv. h&S? Not sure, but if it is could rally to the target area before falling or taking off. 

Juneau Bound

CSCO   15/16.40 This one has rallied up to trend line and now we could see resistance with down move. Very conservative target.

HPQ   I don’t have a target or stop yet, but this was on the Cover of Barron’s and has a bearsih engulfing candle. May rally on the cover, I hope it does then I am shorting like crazy. Could be my move of the week. Watch it!!!

DAY OF 12/30/08

JUNEAU

DRI  24.50/29  POSSIBLY MUCH LOWER, BUT SAFE PLAY IS 24.50

GILD  47/51.50 IF 200 MA HOLDS, THEN PLAY IS NULL

MHK  33.50/42.65  COULD MOVE QUICKLY ONCE IT DROPS

 

WEEK OF 12/29/08

BARROW BOUND

ABMD 15/10.50

Juneau Bound

CMTL 41/45.50

JNPR 15/17.50

PMC 13.50/15.20

RMBS 13/16.30

BREAKOUT 

ADBE

 

WEEK OF 12/21/08

BARROW

EPIQ  18+/15.90

JNPR 19/15

IRIS 14.90/12

JUNEAU

PMC 13.50/16.50

RMBS 12/16.50

 

Day of 12/18/2008

Juneau

SHLD 32/40.88

Week of 12/8/2008

Barrow 

ADBE — 25/19.99 — it’s on the way there.

LUV — This one is tricky, but could jump a little more. 11/8.50

Juneau

TRV — sitting on 200 ma as resis. 39/44.50

BBBY — 20/26

CMTL — 43.50/50

FRED —  9.50/11.65  Stopped out, but I will try to play this one down again. 

EXC — this is one I have been watching, it is in a range  46/56.50

GAS — hitting some strong resistance, could drop. 35/38.15

 

Week of 12/1/2008

Barrow    Bound

 

Juneau Bound

BKE –15/20  – Stopped out

CLHB — breakout either way–  Broke out to the upside

DLTR — 37/43 — Close, but stopped out if you didn’t move your stops

EXC — 45/57.50 — I still like this one for a down move near 45, will be watching.

GPC — 35.50/40.50 — Hit our target and out.

TRV — 35/45 — Close but no cigar, stopped out.

 

Week of 11/24/2008  – Update 11/30

Barrow Bound

WYNN — 54/31.75 — We have already had a great move up, it would be prudent to take some profits at this stall out, and have the possibility to re-enter the trade.

DLTR — 40/33.50 — Made our target, time to short.

Juneau Bound

GOLD — 25/33.50 — We got smashed out of this one, buttttttt, I really like the way it is setting up for another short shot.

XOM — 71/78 —  We got smashed out of this one too, I am sensing a theme.

TAP — 36/44 — We just barely got stopped out of this and now we are following up a trend line.

INT — 22.50/31 — Watch a  stall out at the 200 ma near $25.

 

 

 

Week of 11/17/08 Expiration Week   — UPDATED 11/21/08

I am currently looking at better ways to keep this up to date, but for now this will do. If you do not understand something, don’t be afraid to ask, I don’t understand most of it!

Barrow Bound

HCBK 20/17  – Stopped Out

BKE 25/19.50 — Stopped Out

SRCL 65/55 — Made Target

Juneau Bound

TRV 37.50/44 — Made Target

TAP 37.50/43 — still in play

ISIS 12.50/15.50 — smoked it and out very profitable trade

Updates

GAS 37.50/44.50 — Made Target

JPM 37.50/39.50 — Smoked it, very profitable trade

BKE – Holding support, watch for possible bounce. — Obviously did not bounce. 

 

 

                                               Update 11/11/08

CLHB 60.00 / 70.00– Still moving up with trend line

GAS 39/46– I hate to say it, could be forming a h&s

JPM 37/40– Busted through trend line, if it stays below, going short.

AMGN 56/62.50– Tried to rally, srsi down still on 50 ma, could still move up.

INTC if it holds up to 17.50, if not??? –Still not sure

 

Juneau

CREE 20.40/17.50– Still looking to test 17.50

CSCO 18.50/15.95– Watch closely, but still down

EXC & DUK both hit their head on that major resistance and pulled back fast. Bearish eh?

Week of 10/27

Barrow

CSCO – careful with this one, but I really think it has the potential to bounce. 16.50 / 20.00

Juneau

SYNA- If it breaks neckline could easily hit lows. 28.33 / 21.50

JPM- Look to close beneath 33.66, then hang on. 35.10/ 30. 00 possibly lower

 

Week of 10/22

Barrow Bound

OXPS – IF we have an up move in the mkt. I expect this one to have a very good up % move. It did bte on E and gapped up a little then lost momentum. It is definitely over sold.

 

Juneau Bound

ILMN- wte and guided lower. However it looks like it gapped down to near our target of $26.00, if it breaks that support, watch out below.

CREE- I really like this one. It has been hanging near a strong resistance line. I entered puts on 10-22. My stop is at $21.55, target $17.00

 

 

Barrow Bound

• GCOM – 10/14 8.20 is our target, but today could be good day to sell
• SSD – 10/14 hitting 200 ma, watch for reversal
• FLO – 10/14 I would be taking some profits. See major res. at 30
• ICE – 10/14 this one hit our target yesterday, should turn down today
• ITMN – 10/14 will hit 200 ma today, could cause stall / swing.
• PLCE

 

Juneau Bound

• CASY– UPDATE 10/13, blew through 200 ma, no longer bearish, watch for 200 ma as support.
• GIII